Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 27.676630 31.442848 35.553488 40.376394 45.884394 51.983803 59.257589
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 23.296724 28.442881 34.490008 42.133435 51.556811 62.820155 77.343337
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 20.141945 26.244320 33.911046 44.282428 57.998233 75.587740 99.973148
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 17.285281 23.929357 32.814576 45.625965 63.728750 88.548001 125.423020
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 15.428081 22.623522 32.835437 48.486818 72.057285 106.528047 161.309625
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.439698 20.799308 31.843711 49.775255 78.461048 123.074001 198.699062
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.376909 18.513513 29.795988 49.131827 81.875745 135.852259 233.144817
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.822447 16.761841 28.288252 49.086767 86.279078 151.115630 275.127125
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.917269 15.933289 28.159007 51.355118 95.104355 175.678230 339.086965
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.218569 15.345254 28.347545 54.238759 105.651108 205.522569 419.977171
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.379289 14.356027 27.643814 55.333094 113.051722 230.977362 498.346730
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.438529 13.012556 26.043843 54.374607 116.178309 248.584756 564.600646
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.558347 11.667075 24.267146 52.845060 118.094583 264.712530 633.272393
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.940538 10.762171 23.247998 52.773175 123.292051 289.429287 729.207730
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.475225 10.107316 22.655696 53.566670 130.738262 321.235979 851.993917
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.023137 9.404005 21.835817 53.680073 136.631388 350.804557 977.810227
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.752325 9.076833 21.832716 55.812567 148.189864 397.759622 1165.981357
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.418216 8.538098 21.227825 56.300104 155.567739 435.506943 1339.295533
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.026870 7.788038 19.965907 54.795038 157.144306 457.574880 1471.886296
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.726439 7.220979 19.076066 54.139029 161.048962 487.517671 1639.644807
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.570945 7.014529 19.112076 56.152531 173.487557 546.790925 1926.398979
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.454680 6.896270 19.371977 58.901849 188.959225 619.982246 2288.074328
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.281659 6.586750 19.035290 59.759626 198.579246 676.594968 2608.617369